Demand of Different Income Groups for Cigarettes and Impact of Increasing Tax on Smokers_Chinese Journal of Evidence-Based Medicine

Authors：

MAO Zhengzhong ¹ , HU Dewei ² , YANG Gonghuan ³

1. West China School of Public Health, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610041, China2. School of Public Health, University of Califorlia at Berkeley, CA 90024-1555, USA 3. Chinese Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing 100044, China;

Corresponding author：

Keywords：

Demand for cigarettes; Price elasticity; Taxation; Evidence-based policy

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Objective 　To re-estimate price elasticity of different income groups’ demand for cigarette in terms of the lastest national tobacco consumption data and provide policy-makers with evidence to make decision on public policy of tobacco control.
Methods 　A total of 16 056 adults of different income were surveyed in 27 provinces in 2002 and the data analyzed by using two-part model (logistic and log-linear model).
Results 　We found that the demand elasticities were -0.589, -0.234, -0.017 and 0.247 for the poor group, low income group, middle income group and high income group, respectively.
Conclusions 　Increasing tobacco tax will result in decreasing more cigarette consumption of lower income groups than higher groups, bearing more taxation of higher income groups than lower income groups, therefore tobacco taxation is not regressive.

Citation： MAO Zhengzhong,HU Dewei,YANG Gonghuan. Demand of Different Income Groups for Cigarettes and Impact of Increasing Tax on Smokers. Chinese Journal of Evidence-Based Medicine, 2005, 05(4): 291-295. doi: Copy

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1. 刘铁南, 主编. 烟草经济与烟草控制[M]. 北京: 经济出版社, 2004. 180.
2. 毛正中. 卷烟需求及其影响因素: 一个断面资料模型[J]. 中国卫生事业管理, 1997; 13(2): 227～229.
3. 毛正中. 中国成人的卷烟需求及其影响因素研究[J]. 卫生软科学, 2003; 17(1): 19～22.
4. 毛正中, 胡德伟, 杨功焕. 对中国居民卷烟需求的新估计[J]. 中国卫生经济, 2005; 24(5): 待发表.
5. Liu TN, editor-in-chief. Tobacco Economy and tobacco control[M]. Beijing: Economics Press, 2004. 180.
6. Cnlyer AT, Newhouse JP, editors-in-chielf. The Economics of smoking, in Handbook of Health economics[M]. Amsterdam: Elsevier, 2000. Vol.1; 1953.
7. World Bank: Curbing The Epidemic-Governments and the Economics of Tobacco Control[M]. The World Bank, Washington D.C., 1999. 74.
8. Mao ZZ. Demand for cigarettes and its determinants: a cross sector data model[J]. Journal of Chinese Health Management, 1997; 13(2): 227-229.
9. Mao ZZ. Adults demand for cigarette and its determinants in China[J]. Journal of Soft Health Scineces, 2003; 17(1): 19-22.
10. Wasserman J, Manning WG, Newhouse JP, Winkler JD. The effects of excise taxes and regulations on cigarette smoking[J]. Journal of Health Economics, 1991; 10(1): 43-64.
11. Mao ZZ, Hu TW, Yang GH. Re-estimating demand for cigarette in China[J]. Chinese journal of Health Economics, 2005; 24(5): to be published.
12. Peter ML, John SA, William HD, Loh CP. Is cigarette smoking in poorer nations highly sensitive to price[J]? Journal of Health Economics, 2004; (1):173-189.

Chinese Journal of Evidence-Based Medicine

Demand of Different Income Groups for Cigarettes and Impact of Increasing Tax on Smokers

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