Abstract: Objective To evaluate the prediction validation of European system for cardiac operative risk evaluation （EuroSCORE） in prolonged intensive care unit (ICU) stay, mortality, and major postoperative complications for Chinese patients operated for acquired heart valve disease. Methods Between January 2004 and January 2006, 2 218 consecutive patients treated for acquired heart valve diseases were enrolled in Fu Wai Hospital. All these patients accepted valvular surgery. Both logistic model and additive model were applied to EuroSCORE to evaluate its ability in predicting mortality, prolonged ICU stay and major postoperative complications of patients who had undergone heart valve surgery. An receiver operating characteristic curve（ ROC) area was used to test the discrimination of the models. Calibration was assessed by HosmerLemeshow goodnessoffit statistic. Results Discriminating abilities of logistic and additive EuroSCORE algorithm were 0.710 and 0.690 respectively for mortality, 0.670 and 0.660 for prolonged ICU stay, 0.650 and 0.640 for heart failure, 0.720 and 0.710 for respiratory failure, 0.700 and 0.740 for renal failure, and 0.540 and 0.550 for reexploration for bleeding. There was significant difference between logistic and additive algorithm in predicting renal failure and heart failure (Plt;0.05). Calibration of logistic and additive algorithm in predicting mortality, prolonged ICU stay and major postoperative complications were not satisfactory. However, logistic algorithm could be used to predict postoperative respiratory failure (P=0.120). Conclusion EuroSCORE is not an accurate predictor in predicting mortality, prolonged ICU stay and major postoperative complications, but the logistic model can be used to predict postoperative respiratory failure in Chinese patients operated for acquired heart valve diseases.
Objective To analyze risk factors for prolonged stay in intensive care unit (ICU) after cardiac valvular surgery. Methods Between January 2005 and May 2005, five hundred and seven consecutive patients undergone cardiac valvular surgery were divided into two groups based on if their length of ICU stay more than 5 days (prolonged stay in ICU was defined as 5 days or more). Group Ⅰ: 75 patients required prolonged ICU stay. Group Ⅱ: 432 patients did not require prolonged ICU stay. Univariate and multivariate analysis (logistic regression) were used to identify the risk factors. Results Seventyfive patients required prolonged ICU stay. Univariate risk factors showed that age, the proportion of previous heart surgery, smoking history and repeat cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB) support, cardiothoracicratio, the CPB time and aortic crossclamping time of group Ⅰ were higher or longer than those of group Ⅱ. The heart function, left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), pulmonary function of group Ⅰwere worse than those of group Ⅱ(Plt;0.05, 0.01). Logistic regression identified that preoperative age≥65 years (OR=4.399), LVEF≤0.50(OR=2.788),cardiothoracic ratio≥0.68(OR=2.411), maximal voluntary ventilation observed value/predicted value %lt;71%(OR=4.872), previous heart surgery (OR=3.241) and repeat CPB support during surgery (OR=18.656) were final risk factors for prolonged ICU stay. Conclusion Prolonged ICU stay after cardiac valvular surgery can be predicted through age, LVEF, cardiothoracic ratio, maximal voluntary ventilation, previous heart surgery and repeat CPB support during surgery. The patients with these risk factors need more preoperative care and postoperative care to reduce mortality, morbidity and avoid prolonged ICU stay after cardiac valvular surgery.
Objective To investigate whether single cycle ischemic preconditioning （IP） improves the myocardial preservation in patients undergoing cardiac valve replacement. Methods From August 2002 to April 2006, 85 patients who had chronic heart valve disease and required cardiac valve replacement were randomly divided into two groups. IP group, 47 allocated to receive IP and arrested with 4 C St. Thomas＇ Hospital cardioplegic solution during cardiopulmonary bypass（CPB）, preconditioning was accomplished by using single cycle of 2 minutes occlusion of aorta followed by 3 minutes of reperfusion before cross-clamping. Control group, 38 allocated to receive 4 C St. Thomas＇ Hospital cardioplegic solution alone. Myocardial protective effects were assessed by determinations of creatinine kinase-MB isoenzyme （CK-MB） and cardiac troponin I（cTnI）, ST-T changes, ventricular arrhythmias and other clinical data in ICU. Results Serum CK-MB and cTnI concentrations were increased postoperatively in two groups. At 24, 48 and 72h after operation, values of CK-MB in IP group was significantly lower than that in control group （P〈0.05）, cTnI at 24 and 48h after operation also less in IP group （P〈0.05）. The duration for patients needed for antiarrhythmic drugs in IP group was lower than that in control group （P〈0.05）. Compared with control group, fewer inotropic drugs were used in IP group. As a result, ICU stay time in IP group was shorter than that in control group （P〈0.05）. Conclusion IP enhances the myocardial protective effect when it was used with hypothermic hyper kalemic cardioplegic solution in patients undergoing cardiac valve replacement, IP significantly reduces the postoperative increase of CK-MB, cTnI and plessens the severity of postoperative ventricular arrhythmias.