Objective To investigate the correlation between the initial arterial blood lactic acid and Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) Ⅱ score in trauma patients and its value in prognosis. Methods From August 1st 2015 to July 31st 2016, the clinical data of trauma patients treated in Department of Emergency were analyzed retrospectively. All patients were divided into survival group and death group by observing 28-day prognosis. We compared the relationship between the initial blood lactate level and APACHEⅡ score, and analyzed the relationship between the above indexes and the prognosis of the patients. Results A total of 743 patients were enrolled, with692 in survival group and 51 in death group.The APACHEⅡ score and initial blood lactate level in the survival group [(9.93±4.62) points, (2.02±1.44) mmol/L] were significantly lower than those in the death group [(22.84±7.26) points, (4.60±3.69) mmol/L] with significant differences (t=18.20, 9.77; P<0.01). The APACHEⅡ score and the mortality rate of patients with lactic acid level >4 mmol/L were significantly higher than those of patients with lactic acid of 2-4 mmol/L and <2 mmol/L; the differences were significant (P<0.05). The blood lactate and mortality in patients with APACHEⅡ score >20 were significantly higher than those in the patients with ≤10 and 11-20; the differences were significant (P<0.05). There was a significant positive correlation between initial blood lactate level and APACHEⅡ score (r=0.426, P<0.01). Conclusions The initial blood lactate level and APACHEⅡ score of trauma patients are correlated with the severity of injury and mortality. Both of the increase of initial blood lactic acid level and APACHEⅡ score suggest the risk of death in trauma patients.
ObjectiveTo analyze the roles of three scoring systems, i.e. Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) Ⅱ, Ranson’s criteria, and Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA), in predicting mortality in patients with severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) admitted to intensive care unit (ICU), and explore the independent risk factors for mortality in SAP patients.MethodsThe electronic medical records of SAP patients who admitted to ICU of West China Hospital, Sichuan University between July 2014 and July 2019 were retrospectively analyzed. Data of the first APACHE Ⅱ, Ranson’s criteria, SOFA score, duration of mechanical ventilation, the use of vasoactive drugs and renal replacement therapy, and outcomes were obtained. The receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve was used to evaluate the value of APACHE Ⅱ score, Ranson’s criteria, and SOFA score in predicting the prognosis of SAP. Logistic regression models were created to analyze the independent effects of factors on mortality.ResultsA total of 290 SAP patients hospitalized in ICU were screened retrospectively, from whom 60 patients were excluded, and 230 patients including 162 males and 68 females aged (51.1±13.7) years were finally included. The ICU mortality of the 230 patients with SAP was 27.8% (64/230), with 166 patients in the survival group and 64 patients in the death group. The areas under ROC curves of APACHE Ⅱ, Ranson’s criteria, APACHE Ⅱ combined with Ranson’s criteria, and SOFA score in predicting mortality in SAP patients admitted to ICU were 0.769, 0.741, 0.802, and 0.625, respectively. The result showed that APACHE Ⅱcombined with Ranson’s criteria was superior to any single scoring system in predicting ICU death of SAP patients. The result of logistic regression analysis showed that APACHE Ⅱ score [odds ratio (OR)=1.841, 95% confidence interval (CI) (1.022, 2.651), P=0.002], Ranson’s criteria [OR=1.542, 95%CI (1.152, 2.053), P=0.004], glycemic lability index [OR=1.321, 95%CI (1.021, 1.862), P=0.008], the use of vasoactive drugs [OR=15.572, 95%CI (6.073, 39.899), P<0.001], and renal replacement therapy [OR=4.463, 95%CI (1.901, 10.512), P=0.001] contributed independently to the risk of mortality.ConclusionsAPACHE Ⅱ combined with Ranson’s criteria is better than SOFA score in the prediction of mortality in SAP patients admitted to ICU. APACHE Ⅱ score, Ranson’s criteria, glycemic lability index, the use of vasoactive drugs and renal replacement therapy contribute independently to the risk of ICU mortality in patients with SAP.