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find Author "DANG Guoqin" 1 results
  • Prognosis of acute gastrointestinal injury in patients early after acute type A aortic dissection repair and the Nomogram prediction model development

    Objective To analyze the risk factors and prognosis of acute gastrointestinal injury (AGI) early after acute type A aortic dissection (ATAAD) repair, and develop the Nomogram prediction model of AGI. Methods The patients who underwent ATAAD cardiopulmonary bypass surgery in our hospital from 2016 to 2021 were collected and divided into an AGI group and a non-AGI group. The clinical data of the two groups were compared. A Nomogram prediction model was established by using R language. Results A total of 188 patients were enrolled, including 166 males and 22 females, aged 22-70 (49.70±9.96) years. Through multivariate logistic regression analysis, the aortic dissection (AD) risk score, poor perfusion of superior mesenteric artery (SMA), duration of aortic occlusion and intraoperative infusion of red blood cells were the predictors for AGI (P<0.05). There were statistical differences in the ventilator-assisted duration, ICU stay time, liver dysfunction, renal insufficiency, parenteral nutrition, nosocomial infection and death within 30 days after the operation between the two groups (P<0.05). The Nomogram prediction model was established by using the prediction factors, and the C index was 0.888. Through internal verification, the C index was 0.848. The receiver operating characteristic curve was used to evaluate the discrimination of the model, and the area under the curve was 0.888. Conclusion The AD risk score after ATAAD, poor perfusion of SMA, duration of aortic occlusion and intraoperative infusion of red blood cells are independent predictors for AGI. The Nomogram model has good prediction ability.

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