Health technology assessment (HTA) is becoming more and more popular recently. For populations in China that share at least half of the global disease burden of liver cancer, it is extremely vital to give rise to an efficient secondary prevention strategy. The China central government launched liver cancer screening program in rural areas in 2005, and then extended to populations in urban in 2012. The studies of health technology assessment of liver cancer screening are based on available evidence, from an HTA perspective, aims to evaluate performance of liver screening, economic burden and cost-effectiveness and some other issues, in order to raise suggestions for possible directions in research and public health program related to liver cancer screening in China.
ObjectivesTo systematically review the health utility scores and disability weights of liver cancer and related diseases in China.MethodsPubMed, EMbase, The Cochrane Library, Web of Science, CNKI, WanFang Data, CBM and VIP databases were electronically searched to collect the studies of health utility scores and disability weights of liver cancer and related diseases in China from inception to November, 2017. Two reviewers independently screened literature, extracted data and assessed the risk of bias of included studies, then, meta-analysis was performed by using Stata 12.0 software.ResultsA total of 9 studies were included which covered 10 related diseases, among which chronic hepatitis B, compensated cirrhosis, decompensated cirrhosis and liver cancer were the mostly reported. The overall quality was adequate, and EQ-5D was the most common tool in these studies. Results of meta-analysis showed that healthy utility scores of the four common diseases were 0.789 (0.735, 0.843), 0.734 (0.693, 0.776), 0.647 (0.627, 0.666) and 0.636 (0.508, 0.765), respectively. Measures from EQ-5D were 0.825 (0.762, 0.868), 0.761 (0.731, 0.791), 0.643 (0.620, 0.666) and 0.620 (0.473, 0.766), respectively. In addition, the corresponding median (range) utility scores of the four diseases were found to be 0.758 (0.520–0.950), 0.716 (0.570–0.900), 0.538 (0.260–0.662) and 0.541(0.310–0.720). Only one disability weight study was concluded (0.360–0.900 reported for liver cancer).ConclusionIn Chinese population, current evidences on health utility of liver cancer and related diseases are limited, particularly data on disability weights. Utility values from meta-analysis seems more optimistic and centralized than those from descriptive analysis. Different survey tools yield varying outcomes, and attentions should be addressed to their application. The decrease of heath utility scores with the severity of liver disease suggests that early prevention, early diagnosis and treatment can save more years of life with enhanced quality.
ObjectivesTo classify the high risk population for primary liver cancer (PLC) in rural China.MethodsBetween June 2011 and June 2013, hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) carriers were identified in clinical laboratory of Qidong People’s Hospital and surveyed by questionnaires. Cox proportional hazard regression model was introduced to demonstrate independent risk factors associated with PLC occurrence. Moreover, receiver characteristic operating (ROC) curve was utilized to evaluate discrimination power of risk factor panel for PLC risk classification.ResultsA total of 1 296 HBsAg carriers were enrolled, among which 686 participants were male with an average age of 45.73±11.58 years, and 610 participants were female with an average age of 45.67±12.33 years. After a mean follow up period of 5.5 years, 43 incident PLC cases were confirmed, which generated a PLC incidence of 60.5 millions person years. Multi-univariate Cox model showed that increase of age (HR=1.055, 95%CI 1.029 to 1.083, P<0.000 1), male (HR=3.263, 95%CI 1.567 to 6.796,P=0.001 6), having family history of PLC (HR=2.315, 95%CI 1.260 to 4.252, P=0.006 8), HBeAg positivity (HR=2.367, 95%CI 1.267 to 4.419, P=0.006 9) and GGT abnormality (HR=2.721, 95%CI 1.457 to 5.083, P=0.001 7) were the independent risk factors of PLC.ConclusionRoutine host, viral and liver biochemical parameters which are readily accessible in daily clinical practice can be utilized in identification of the targeted population for prevention of PLC in rural China.
ObjectiveTo systematically review the status of economic evaluation of liver cancer screening in China, so as to provide reference for further studies.MethodsPubMed, EMbase, The Cochrane Library, Web of Science, CNKI, WanFang Data, CBM and VIP databases were searched to collect economic evaluation studies of liver cancer screening in China from inception to December, 2017. Two reviewers independently screened literature, extracted data and conducted descriptive analysis of basic characteristics, methods of economic evaluation and main results as well as quality and uniformity of reporting.ResultsA total of 5 studies were included. Among them, the starting age of screening were found to be 35 to 45 years old; α-fetoprotein (AFP) testing and ultrasound examination combined procedure and screening interval of every 6 months were mostly evaluated. The quality of the 5 studies was satisfactory, and the uniformity of reporting was relatively acceptable, with a median score of 78% (range: 60% ~ 78%). Two population-based studies reported cost per liver cancer detected (44 thousand and 575 thousand yuan). Three studies reported cost-effectiveness ratio(CER) based on life year saved (LYS) and quality adjusted life year (QALY). Among these results, only 1 study from mainland China reported CER based on LYS (1 775 yuan), and the calculated ratio of CER to local GDP per capita was estimated as 0.1, while 2 studies from Taiwan province reported 4 CERs, and the ratios of CER to local GDP per capita ranged from 1.0 to 2.2.ConclusionsInformation from liver cancer endemic areas such as Taiwan province indicates promising cost-effectiveness to conduct liver cancer screening in local general population, while data from mainland suggests that conducting liver cancer screening combining AFP and ultrasound in high-risk population will be cost-effective, however only supported by 1 regional study. This needs to be verified by further economic evaluations based on randomized controlled trials or cohort studies as well as health economic evaluations.
ObjectivesTo estimate the latest burden of disability adjusted life years (DALYs) for liver cancer in China and the long-term trend, and to make future prediction.MethodsBased on the visualization platform of Global Burden of Disease 2016, data on the DALYs for liver cancer in China was extracted. The very recent status in 2016 and the previous trend from 1990 to 2016 were described, using annualized rate of change (ARC). The burden from 2017 to 2050 was further predicted by combining the ARC and the Chinese population data projected by the United Nation.ResultsIn 2016, the total DALYs for liver cancer in China was estimated as 11 539 000 person years (accounting for 54.6% of the global burden), and years of life lost (YLLs) and years lived with disability (YLDs) contributed 98.9% and 1.1%, respectively. The age-standardized DALY rate was 844.1 per 100 000 (3.0 times of the global average) and the male-to-female ratio was 3.4. The DALY rate continuously increased from 1990–2016 (ARC=0.57%), particularly in recent 5 years (ARC=1.75%). Among the DALYs for all cancers, liver cancer contributed approximately 20% and constantly remained as the top 2 (ranking as the number one before year 2005). There were inverse trends in gender, with increasing in males and decreasing in females (ARC was 0.77% and –0.11%, respectively). Hepatitis B infection continually kept the leading cause of DALYs for liver cancer (accounting for nearly 57%), and the DALY rate was gradually increasing (ARC=0.43%). Although the peak age of DALY rate was stable at 65to 69 years, the peak age of the DALYs changed from 55 to 59 years in 1990 to 60 ~ 64 years in 2016. In 2050, the estimated DALYs for liver cancer in China will reach 14.37 million person years, 20.0% more than that in 2017.ConclusionsThe DALYs caused by liver cancer in China exceeds the overall burden of all other countries in the world, and accounts for 1/5 of DALYs for all cancers in local population. The burden in males has been continuously rising, and the leading cause remained unchanged as hepatitis B infection. With population aging, the DALYs for liver cancer in China will be incessant to increase, suggesting the necessity to implement continuous effort in risk factors prevention (e.g. hepatitis B infection), and efficient management in high risk population of liver cancer.
ObjectivesTo evaluate the accuracy of liver cancer screening techniques to inform screening intervention and early diagnosis.MethodsWe searched PubMed, The Cochrane Library, EMbase, Web of Science, CNKI, WanFang Data, CBM, VIP databases to collect relevant diagnostic accuracy studies of screening technologies for liver cancer from January 1980 to December 2017. Two reviewers independently screened the literature, extracted the data and assessed the risk of bias of included studies. Then meta-analysis was performed by using Meta-Disc 1.4 software.ResultsA total of 54 publications with 47 728 individuals were included. In terms of pooled sensitivity from the meta-analysis, it was estimated as 0.71 (95%CI 0.70 to 0.72), 0.57 (95%CI 0.56 to 0.59) and 0.43 (95%CI 0.41 to 0.45); the pooled specificity was estimated as 0.92 (95%CI 0.92 to 0.93), 0.95 (95%CI 0.94 to 0.96) and 0.95 (95%CI 0.94 to 0.96); the pooled positive likelihood ratio was 5.65 (95%CI 4.37 to 7.30), 13.24(95%CI 4.25 to 41.22) and 11.39 (95%CI 4.01 to 32.35); the pooled negative likelihood ratio was 0.35 (95%CI 0.31 to 0.39), 0.38 (95%CI 0.29 to 0.52) and 0.49 (95%CI 0.39 to 0.62); the diagnosis odds ratio was 17.23 (95%CI 12.26 to 24.20), 33.79 (95%CI 12.65 to 90.24) and 24.41(95%CI 9.23 to 64.53) for AFP alone with cut-off of 20, 200 and 400 ng/mL, respectively. The pooled sensitivity, specificity, positive likelihood ratio, negative likelihood ratio and diagnosis odds ratio were 0.65 (95%CI 0.62 to 0.69), 0.97 (95%CI 0.97 to 0.97), 16.48 (95%CI 9.55 to 28.42), 0.27 (95%CI 0.18 to 0.42) and 64.54 (95%CI 30.16 to 138.11) for ultrasound examination alone. The pooled sensitivity, specificity, positive likelihood ratio, negative likelihood ratio and diagnosis odds ratio were 0.96 (95%CI 0.94 to 0.98), 0.96 (95%CI 0.96 to 0.96), 10.76 (95%CI 2.62 to 44.27), 0.07 (95%CI 0.02 to 0.22) and 160.59 (95%CI 31.61 to 816.03) for the combined strategy.ConclusionFor liver cancer screening technologies, the overall accuracy of serum AFP test alone is the optimum at cut-off of 20 ng/mL, and the sensitivity increased substantially when combined with ultrasound examination.