ObjectiveTo evaluate prognostic value of change of immune status in locally advanced gastric cancer (LAGC) patients. Methods We retrospective collected 210 LAGC patients who underwent treatment in our department from January 2013 to December 2018, then we collected lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR) and cLMR (change of lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio, cLMR) before operation and after three cycles of adjuvant chemotherapy. We had developed a new immune state change score (ICS) based on preoperative LMR (pLMR) and cLMR, and explored its prognostic value. The definition of ICS in this study was: ICS=1, pLMR≤4.53 and cLMR≤1; ICS=2, pLMR≤4.53 and cLMR>1, or pLMR>4.53 and cLMR≤1; ICS=3, pLMR>4.53 and cLMR>1. Results The results of multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression model showed that ICS was an influencing factor for overall survival [ICS=2, RR=0.397, 95%CI (0.260, 0.608), P<0.001; ICS=3, RR=0.080, 95%CI (0.040, 0.162), P<0.001), patients with ICS scores of 2 and 3 had better overall survival. In addition, the prognostic accuracy of ICS was superior to pLMR and Clmr, and the C-index of ICS [0.806, 95%CI (0.746, 0.865)] was higher than that of pLMR [0.717, 95%CI (0.635, 0.799), P=0.003)] and cLMR [0.723, 95%CI (0.641, 0.806), P=0.005)]. Based on this, a Nomogram model included ICS, CEA, and pTNM staging was constructed to predict the 3-year and 5-year survival rates of patients. The calibration curve and C-index [0.821, 95%CI (0.783, 0.859)] showed high discrimination and accuracy of Nomogram, and decision curve analysis confirmed that the model had good clinical application value. Conclusions The dynamic changes in the patient’s immune status before and after adjuvant therapy are related to the overall survival of LAGC patients. As an evaluating system which combined the cLMR and pLMR, ICS can better predict the prognosis of LAGC patients.
Objective To investigate the prognostic value of preoperative plasma fibrinogen (FIB) combined with lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR) in predicting the prognosis of patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma. Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on patients who underwent esophagectomy in our hospital from January 2015 to December 2018. Based on the cut-off values of preoperative FIB and LMR, The F-LMR scoring system was constructed, and patients were divided into three groups. Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to assess 5-year overall survival and 5-year progression free survival, and univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were performed to identify prognostic factors. Results Finally 260 patients were collected, including 237 males and 23 females, with a median age of 64 years (ranging from 59 to 70 years). The 5-year OS rates for patients with F-LMR score of 0, 1, and 2 were 24.44%, 51.69%, and 67.31%, respectively, and the 5-year PFS rates were 15.56%, 42.37%, and 57.62%, respectively. Lower preoperative F-LMR scores were associated with worse prognosis. Multivariate analysis showed that deeper tumor invasion, presence of lymph node metastasis, larger tumor maximum diameter, and lower preoperative F-LMR score were independent prognostic factors for OS. Conclusion The F-LMR score system based on the preoperative FIB and LMR can serve as an effective tool for predicting the prognosis of patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma.