Objective To explore the independent risk factors for tumor invasiveness of ground-glass nodules and establish a tumor invasiveness prediction model. Methods A retrospective analysis was performed in 389 patients with ground-glass nodules admitted to the Department of Thoracic Surgery in the First Hospital of Lanzhou University from June 2018 to May 2021 with definite pathological findings, including clinical data, imaging features and tumor markers. A total of 242 patients were included in the study according to inclusion criteria, including 107 males and 135 females, with an average age of 57.98±9.57 years. CT data of included patients were imported into the artificial intelligence system in DICOM format. The artificial intelligence system recognized, automatically calculated and output the characteristics of pulmonary nodules, such as standard diameter, solid component size, volume, average CT value, maximum CT value, minimum CT value, central CT value, and whether there were lobulation, burr sign, pleural depression and blood vessel passing. The patients were divided into two groups: a preinvasive lesions group (atypical adenomatoid hyperplasia/adenocarcinoma in situ) and an invasive lesions group (minimally invasive adenocarcinoma/invasive adenocarcinoma). Univariate and multivariate analyses were used to screen the independent risk factors for tumor invasiveness of ground-glass nodules and then a prediction model was established. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was drawn, and the critical value was calculated. The sensitivity and specificity were obtained according to the Yorden index. Results Univariate and multivariate analyses showed that central CT value, Cyfra21-1, solid component size, nodular nature and burr of the nodules were independent risk factors for the diagnosis of tumor invasiveness of ground-glass nodules. The optimum critical value of the above indicators between preinvasive lesions and invasive lesions were –309.00 Hu, 3.23 ng/mL, 8.65 mm, respectively. The prediction model formula for tumor invasiveness probability was logit (P)=0.982–(3.369×nodular nature)+(0.921×solid component size)+(0.002×central CT value)+(0.526×Cyfra21-1)–(0.0953×burr). The areas under the curve obtained by plotting the ROC curve using the regression probabilities of regression model was 0.908. The accuracy rate was 91.3%. Conclusion The logistic regression model established in this study can well predict the tumor invasiveness of ground-glass nodules by CT and tumor markers with high predictive value.
Objective To evaluate the clinical radiological features combined with circulating tumor cells (CTCs) in the diagnosis of invasiveness evaluation of subsolid nodules in lung cancers. Methods Clinical data of 296 patients from the First Hospital of Lanzhou University between February 2019 and February 2021 were retrospectively included. There were 130 males and 166 females with a median age of 62.00 years. Patients were randomly divided into a training set and an internal validation set with a ratio of 3 : 1 by random number table method. The patients were divided into two groups: a preinvasive lesion group (atypical adenomatoid hyperplasia and adenocarcinoma in situ) and an invasive lesion group (microinvasive adenocarcinoma and invasive adenocarcinoma). Independent risk factors were selected by regression analysis of training set and a Nomogram prediction model was constructed. The accuracy and consistency of the model were verified by the receiver operating characteristic curve and calibration curve respectively. Subgroup analysis was conducted on nodules with different diameters to further verify the performance of the model. Specific performance metrics, including sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value and accuracy at the threshold were calculated. Results Independent risk factors selected by regression analysis for subsolid nodules were age, CTCs level, nodular nature, lobulation and spiculation. The Nomogram prediction mode provided an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.914 (0.872, 0.956), outperforming clinical radiological features model AUC [0.856 (0.794, 0.917), P=0.003] and CTCs AUC [0.750 (0.675, 0.825), P=0.001] in training set. C-index was 0.914, 0.894 and corrected C-index was 0.902, 0.843 in training set and internal validation set, respectively. The AUC of the prediction model in training set was 0.902 (0.848, 0.955), 0.913 (0.860, 0.966) and 0.873 (0.730, 1.000) for nodule diameter of 5-20 mm, 10-20 mm and 21-30 mm, respectively. Conclusion The prediction model in this study has better diagnostic value, and is more effective in clinical diagnosis of diseases.